Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 5.062927 5.691612 6.377939 7.184432 8.108218 9.135651 10.368152
2025-01-05 4.127012 4.954689 5.927839 7.162671 8.696537 10.550430 12.977739
2025-01-12 3.516962 4.432431 5.569944 7.099734 9.122218 11.730867 15.392982
2025-01-19 2.949327 3.858001 5.036199 6.694266 8.997029 12.125859 16.774248
2025-01-26 2.668374 3.607693 4.872779 6.727423 9.421339 13.261252 19.275544
2025-02-02 2.503348 3.487631 4.860025 6.949191 10.112952 14.830131 22.599001
2025-02-09 2.338712 3.345853 4.794017 7.074151 10.659660 16.229628 25.838001
2025-02-16 2.188750 3.207394 4.713635 7.159576 11.141851 17.569045 29.149987
2025-02-23 2.056571 3.081016 4.635463 7.233218 11.602651 18.913744 32.646511
2025-03-02 1.879039 2.868230 4.402494 7.030266 11.575839 19.423378 34.709895
2025-03-09 1.748281 2.717388 4.252850 6.946446 11.735872 20.264045 37.489757
2025-03-16 1.631692 2.579465 4.111408 6.860229 11.877057 21.077712 40.321677
2025-03-23 1.589681 2.563044 4.173445 7.140696 12.725681 23.334268 46.471998
2025-03-30 1.500276 2.460063 4.080118 7.134361 13.039246 24.605718 50.783955
2025-04-06 1.410839 2.349880 3.964693 7.074939 13.241441 25.676745 54.832586
2025-04-13 1.277168 2.152883 3.680473 6.671713 12.719143 25.193842 55.263852
2025-04-20 1.219792 2.086973 3.626809 6.704883 13.082196 26.619116 60.419713
2025-04-27 1.192869 2.073638 3.667706 6.925839 13.857839 29.038558 68.441669
2025-05-04 1.154774 2.036813 3.661311 7.050330 14.440262 31.101369 75.951777
2025-05-11 1.114374 1.992679 3.637228 7.135430 14.944529 33.049263 83.535815
2025-05-18 1.075350 1.948349 3.609120 7.208792 15.429518 35.015467 91.562503
2025-05-25 1.008335 1.845751 3.458710 7.006613 15.255773 35.338451 94.947764
2025-06-01 0.959105 1.774754 3.366551 6.923112 15.352156 36.353220 100.579080